📝Disarmament of Iraqi Groupings📝Pros and Cons of a Possible Solution
Reuters journalists, citing 10 senior commanders and Iraqi officials,
report that the largest “pro-Iranian” groups in Iraq are ready to disarm to prevent an escalation of the conflict with the US.
According to the latter, this decision followed repeated warnings from the Trump administration to the Iraqi authorities about possible airstrikes against the groups on Iraqi territory.
📌 In the context of this issue, the first thing I would like to note is that there is currently
no such influence of Iran in Iraq as is attributed to it. During the war with ISIS, the Iranians, through the IRGC, did indeed have broad powers in Iraq, but this is no longer the case.
Shiite paramilitary formations in Iraq act sovereignly, although they do benefit from technical support from Iranian allies. Certainly, there are units that are in contact with the IRGC, but they are not the dominant ones.
🖍The very fact of possible disarmament is a
logical move, as Iraq has been trying to stabilize the domestic political situation in recent years. Investments are being attracted, peaceful life is being established, and there is no need for such a large number of armed units, since ISIS in Iraq no longer poses the former threat.
❗️However, there is an obvious downside: that this decision is being promoted at an extremely inopportune moment for Iraq, if we consider that Syria has turned into a hotbed of terrorism. And if these groups are disarmed, then in the event of a threat, Iraq may face major problems.
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