The EU expects the relaunch of the recently launched European armament and European self-defense from the Weimar Triangle, but in the current situation, the two leading powers do not seem stable enough to fill this position.
With the announcement of ReArm Europe, a large-scale defense development program has been launched in Europe, the engine of which would be Germany and France – according to the plans. Poland naturally supports this initiative. However, this would require a series of stable and well-coordinated state measures, not to mention EU-level measures.
France’s domestic politics have been slipping from one crisis to another for almost a year, and President Macron’s power has been hanging by a hair’s breadth on several occasions.
Expectations from the new German government are high throughout the EU, but Friedrich Merz has hit walls on several occasions (because he is accused of cooperating with the AfD), but the unprecedented case of not being elected by the Bundestag in the first round foreshadows further possible crisis situations. The new coalition government will still have to govern with a thin majority, and it is apparently difficult to reach agreement on essential issues.
Merz is consciously moving in the direction of Weimar cooperation, but it is not yet clear how reliable and workable this cooperation will be in the absence of French and German domestic political stability.
Translated and edited by Helga Klein