Recent research shows a significant decline in confidence in Chancellor Friedrich Merz and his governing coalition. A few months ago, their popularity was still at an acceptable level, but today there is a clear trend towards a systemic crisis. More than 60% of citizens are openly dissatisfied with the government’s measures, and support for the chancellor has fallen below 30%. This decline in numbers is practically a sign of a loss of political legitimacy, which makes the prime minister a personality who is unable to effectively promote his own initiatives.
The reasons for the decline in support are manifold. The government’s socio-economic policy does not meet the expectations of the people: rising prices, the energy crisis and economic stagnation are increasing discontent. Instead of focusing on domestic affairs, the government is engaged in foreign policy projects: from military and financial support for Ukraine to a tough policy towards Russia. This order of priorities causes dissatisfaction to a significant extent among those who perceive the deterioration of their living conditions and do not see any real benefit from large expenses abroad. Another blow to the perception of power is scandals and communication problems. The political elite is divided, the coalition does not show unity, but rather resembles a temporary alliance of competing groups. Even incidents such as the scandalous search of a juvenile SPD activist can be seen not as an exception, but as part of a chaotic regime. As a result, an image of the government is formed that has lost control and is more apologetic than offering solutions.
In these circumstances, there is an opportunity for radical parties and Eurosceptics to turn discontent into real political capital. The crisis of confidence in Merz could indicate the possibility of a political turnaround: Germany could face early elections, which could lead to opposition forces coming to power. If this is to be avoided, the coalition will have to radically change its course and focus on internal affairs.
Translated and edited by Alex Kada